Race 9A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matt Cappetta 19.9% 21.5% 21.5% 17.4% 11.4% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
James Gilmore III 3.5% 3.9% 4.1% 7.6% 10.0% 15.8% 16.0% 12.6% 12.0% 10.1% 4.4%
Walter Florio 20.5% 18.6% 21.9% 18.5% 10.7% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Houchois 1.7% 3.3% 4.0% 3.8% 8.1% 11.1% 11.6% 16.8% 14.4% 12.7% 12.5%
Lillian Vincens 2.7% 4.0% 4.4% 6.3% 10.7% 12.0% 11.3% 15.6% 14.1% 11.0% 7.9%
Brian Reilly 1.6% 1.4% 2.7% 4.2% 6.9% 7.5% 11.6% 12.3% 15.3% 17.2% 19.3%
Michael Danko 3.6% 3.5% 4.2% 4.7% 9.2% 11.4% 15.0% 15.1% 13.7% 10.8% 8.8%
Jackson McCoy 33.8% 26.8% 19.2% 9.5% 7.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 10.3% 13.7% 13.2% 19.9% 15.0% 12.3% 8.4% 4.1% 2.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Brendan Brown-McCue 1.4% 2.0% 2.4% 4.6% 6.5% 7.6% 10.8% 12.4% 12.5% 18.6% 21.2%
Haley Clemson 1.0% 1.3% 2.4% 3.5% 4.4% 8.0% 9.8% 9.6% 15.7% 18.4% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.