Race 10A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Walter Florio 20.2% 21.6% 19.8% 18.4% 11.0% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 11.5% 13.2% 15.1% 17.2% 16.3% 12.5% 8.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Matt Cappetta 19.9% 21.7% 20.3% 15.7% 11.9% 6.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 32.3% 24.3% 20.2% 13.1% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Brown-McCue 1.9% 1.6% 2.5% 3.7% 5.6% 7.9% 8.7% 12.5% 14.6% 18.6% 22.4%
Lillian Vincens 2.7% 2.6% 5.5% 5.4% 8.8% 13.5% 13.2% 16.3% 13.0% 10.9% 8.1%
Michael Danko 3.0% 4.5% 3.0% 4.5% 9.4% 11.6% 15.2% 14.1% 14.5% 11.9% 8.3%
James Gilmore III 3.9% 3.0% 4.5% 9.0% 12.6% 14.5% 12.7% 13.0% 12.9% 8.8% 5.1%
Brian Reilly 1.8% 2.5% 2.0% 4.2% 4.9% 7.6% 12.0% 13.0% 13.5% 18.9% 19.6%
Haley Clemson 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 3.3% 5.0% 6.2% 9.4% 10.3% 15.3% 16.9% 28.5%
Nicholas Houchois 1.6% 3.2% 5.0% 5.5% 8.5% 12.0% 13.5% 14.8% 14.3% 13.6% 8.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.