Race 11A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Danko 2.3% 1.6% 3.7% 4.7% 9.3% 11.7% 13.8% 16.4% 15.3% 13.1% 8.1%
Walter Florio 20.5% 22.6% 20.5% 16.3% 10.8% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Brown-McCue 1.5% 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 5.3% 7.3% 9.4% 12.1% 14.8% 19.3% 22.7%
Jackson McCoy 30.1% 26.5% 19.8% 13.3% 5.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Cappetta 22.7% 19.5% 20.4% 16.6% 10.6% 6.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
James Gilmore III 3.0% 4.3% 4.2% 7.2% 12.1% 12.5% 16.3% 12.9% 11.9% 10.4% 5.2%
Juan Lejarraga 12.4% 12.4% 16.8% 19.3% 16.0% 11.8% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Haley Clemson 1.2% 2.1% 1.5% 3.0% 4.5% 6.4% 9.5% 13.6% 14.4% 16.6% 27.2%
Brian Reilly 1.6% 2.7% 2.0% 3.9% 5.0% 8.7% 11.3% 13.0% 14.4% 17.4% 20.0%
Nicholas Houchois 2.2% 2.8% 3.6% 5.8% 10.2% 12.3% 11.9% 13.1% 14.4% 13.0% 10.7%
Lillian Vincens 2.5% 3.5% 5.1% 6.7% 10.5% 13.3% 16.6% 13.5% 12.7% 9.6% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.