Race 12A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jackson McCoy 33.9% 25.9% 17.3% 14.4% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Brown-McCue 1.8% 1.4% 2.1% 2.9% 6.8% 6.5% 10.8% 11.5% 14.8% 18.6% 22.8%
Walter Florio 19.4% 20.6% 20.5% 17.4% 11.9% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Cappetta 19.9% 21.4% 21.2% 17.1% 11.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 12.0% 12.6% 16.3% 17.3% 16.3% 11.3% 8.0% 4.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Lillian Vincens 2.2% 3.5% 4.6% 5.9% 9.7% 13.2% 13.1% 16.5% 12.3% 10.7% 8.3%
Brian Reilly 1.9% 3.0% 3.1% 3.0% 6.2% 8.0% 12.1% 13.1% 15.9% 16.0% 17.7%
Michael Danko 2.7% 2.4% 4.1% 5.8% 9.3% 13.1% 14.0% 12.7% 13.2% 14.5% 8.2%
James Gilmore III 3.5% 3.9% 4.8% 5.7% 10.3% 15.1% 14.2% 14.0% 12.5% 10.9% 5.1%
Haley Clemson 0.7% 2.3% 1.9% 3.9% 5.0% 7.3% 7.6% 11.6% 14.0% 17.2% 28.5%
Nicholas Houchois 2.0% 3.0% 4.1% 6.6% 7.9% 11.9% 14.0% 14.4% 15.5% 11.4% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.