Race 1B

greater-new-york-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tyler Paige 9.8% 11.5% 14.1% 18.1% 15.0% 15.5% 8.9% 4.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Hugh MacGillivray 40.6% 27.8% 17.1% 8.9% 4.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Oursler 10.1% 12.2% 14.9% 15.5% 17.0% 15.3% 8.7% 3.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Brad Seferian 22.5% 24.9% 21.8% 14.0% 9.5% 4.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Godfrey 0.5% 1.8% 2.3% 2.7% 3.5% 6.4% 9.1% 11.4% 11.3% 17.7% 17.2% 16.1%
Brian Reilly 1.9% 2.2% 3.8% 5.3% 6.8% 7.2% 11.2% 15.1% 17.0% 15.7% 9.1% 4.7%
Nicholas Manfredi 4.0% 6.4% 7.9% 10.6% 11.4% 15.6% 14.6% 12.8% 7.9% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7%
James Keegan 6.4% 8.1% 10.2% 13.8% 13.2% 14.8% 13.1% 10.8% 5.3% 2.2% 1.7% 0.4%
Dylan Boland 1.6% 1.8% 3.2% 3.9% 8.1% 9.3% 12.9% 15.8% 16.0% 13.1% 10.5% 3.8%
Jennifer Suter 0.6% 0.5% 2.0% 2.4% 3.5% 2.7% 4.3% 7.3% 12.3% 13.8% 20.1% 30.5%
Peter Sander 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 3.4% 4.4% 5.5% 9.9% 11.7% 14.5% 16.9% 17.3% 11.6%
Catalina Feder 0.5% 1.3% 0.9% 1.4% 3.2% 2.7% 5.2% 6.4% 11.3% 13.2% 21.7% 32.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.