Race 2B

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hugh MacGillivray 41.7% 27.7% 17.7% 6.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brad Seferian 22.1% 24.9% 20.7% 14.9% 9.2% 5.0% 2.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Paige 10.9% 11.5% 14.6% 17.8% 16.0% 13.3% 9.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Oursler 7.9% 13.6% 17.6% 17.2% 15.5% 12.3% 8.7% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Dylan Boland 1.5% 2.5% 2.9% 5.1% 7.5% 9.1% 11.8% 13.2% 15.8% 14.6% 9.7% 6.3%
James Keegan 5.8% 7.1% 10.1% 13.6% 13.0% 15.3% 15.4% 10.3% 5.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Nicholas Manfredi 4.7% 5.9% 6.8% 10.8% 12.3% 15.6% 12.0% 14.5% 9.7% 4.3% 2.7% 0.7%
Erin Godfrey 0.8% 1.5% 2.7% 2.8% 5.0% 5.3% 9.1% 8.9% 13.2% 18.5% 18.7% 13.5%
Brian Reilly 1.9% 2.5% 2.4% 4.9% 5.8% 10.6% 12.7% 16.7% 15.8% 13.4% 9.7% 3.6%
Catalina Feder 0.6% 0.6% 1.9% 2.8% 3.0% 2.5% 4.2% 7.5% 10.5% 14.6% 19.6% 32.2%
Peter Sander 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 2.8% 5.1% 5.9% 9.0% 12.8% 14.4% 16.8% 17.3% 11.8%
Jennifer Suter 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 2.9% 3.7% 4.1% 6.7% 11.6% 14.4% 20.8% 31.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.