Race 3B

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brad Seferian 21.5% 23.7% 22.8% 15.4% 8.2% 4.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hugh MacGillivray 41.7% 28.8% 15.8% 8.0% 4.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Paige 10.9% 12.3% 14.9% 16.9% 16.5% 14.2% 8.6% 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
James Keegan 4.4% 8.2% 10.5% 12.8% 15.1% 16.1% 12.9% 9.2% 6.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Connor Oursler 9.3% 11.9% 16.3% 17.0% 16.3% 12.4% 8.9% 3.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Dylan Boland 1.7% 2.2% 3.5% 4.7% 7.0% 8.9% 11.4% 14.9% 15.0% 15.7% 9.5% 5.5%
Peter Sander 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 3.7% 4.2% 6.8% 8.7% 13.2% 14.9% 14.5% 15.9% 11.7%
Nicholas Manfredi 4.5% 6.2% 6.2% 10.7% 12.6% 13.2% 16.3% 13.2% 9.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.2%
Erin Godfrey 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 2.4% 4.1% 5.9% 8.2% 12.1% 15.7% 16.7% 18.6% 12.4%
Jennifer Suter 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 3.1% 2.9% 3.3% 4.7% 7.4% 10.2% 14.1% 22.3% 29.4%
Brian Reilly 2.0% 1.8% 3.2% 3.6% 6.9% 9.5% 12.7% 14.2% 14.9% 14.7% 9.8% 6.7%
Catalina Feder 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 3.7% 4.6% 7.5% 8.9% 15.6% 20.1% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.