Race 4B

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Connor Oursler 8.9% 13.6% 12.7% 16.1% 17.8% 14.2% 9.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
James Keegan 5.1% 6.5% 10.3% 13.1% 15.3% 14.5% 15.2% 10.0% 6.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Tyler Paige 10.1% 13.5% 14.6% 16.5% 16.1% 12.5% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Brad Seferian 22.9% 24.4% 21.7% 14.9% 8.6% 4.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hugh MacGillivray 42.1% 27.1% 16.9% 7.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 1.6% 2.7% 4.3% 4.8% 6.7% 7.7% 11.1% 15.6% 15.8% 14.9% 10.8% 4.0%
Dylan Boland 2.5% 2.1% 4.1% 4.7% 6.8% 10.2% 10.6% 14.2% 16.3% 13.5% 9.2% 5.8%
Peter Sander 1.4% 1.7% 2.7% 3.8% 4.1% 6.9% 9.9% 10.4% 13.9% 17.6% 17.3% 10.3%
Nicholas Manfredi 3.3% 4.9% 6.8% 12.8% 11.8% 16.7% 15.6% 12.7% 8.5% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Erin Godfrey 0.5% 1.9% 3.2% 3.5% 4.1% 4.3% 6.8% 13.0% 14.0% 16.1% 17.8% 14.8%
Jennifer Suter 1.0% 0.6% 1.4% 1.2% 2.2% 4.2% 4.1% 8.0% 9.3% 14.0% 22.9% 31.1%
Catalina Feder 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 3.0% 4.9% 6.1% 11.8% 14.3% 19.6% 33.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.