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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.03+4.28vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.41+2.48vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+2.40vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.42+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+0.37vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.70+0.57vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.66+0.26vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.06vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-1.23vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.36+0.69vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.78-3.61vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Middlebury College0.039.4%1st Place
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4.48McGill University0.4115.3%1st Place
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5.4Salve Regina University0.978.9%1st Place
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4.17Fairfield University0.4216.8%1st Place
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5.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0210.8%1st Place
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6.57Bates College-0.707.2%1st Place
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7.26Brandeis University-0.664.6%1st Place
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4.94Olin College of Engineering0.2212.3%1st Place
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7.77University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.975.0%1st Place
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10.69Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.361.1%1st Place
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7.39Bentley University-0.785.8%1st Place
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8.69Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Genevieve Lau | 15.3% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.8% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Delong | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Colby Green | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| James Jagielski | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 8.0% |
| Owen Peterson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 13.6% | 61.4% |
| Andrew Blagden | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 5.0% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.