Race 5B

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hugh MacGillivray 41.7% 28.5% 16.3% 7.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brad Seferian 21.6% 25.6% 20.2% 14.2% 10.4% 4.8% 2.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Keegan 6.6% 6.3% 10.4% 12.4% 14.4% 15.8% 14.4% 10.8% 5.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Tyler Paige 8.4% 13.8% 15.7% 16.6% 16.9% 12.9% 8.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Oursler 9.8% 12.1% 15.3% 18.0% 16.3% 12.0% 8.2% 4.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 1.7% 2.4% 3.3% 5.0% 7.0% 9.1% 11.3% 13.8% 17.9% 14.0% 10.0% 4.5%
Nicholas Manfredi 4.3% 5.7% 6.8% 10.9% 12.7% 15.2% 13.9% 13.3% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2% 1.1%
Dylan Boland 1.6% 2.3% 4.4% 5.3% 6.4% 8.8% 12.5% 14.4% 14.0% 14.2% 11.2% 4.9%
Peter Sander 1.5% 0.8% 2.2% 3.2% 4.3% 7.3% 10.1% 13.0% 14.9% 17.4% 15.5% 9.8%
Erin Godfrey 1.0% 1.0% 3.2% 3.3% 3.0% 5.6% 8.4% 11.0% 14.3% 16.5% 18.0% 14.7%
Catalina Feder 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 2.2% 4.1% 4.2% 7.5% 9.9% 13.4% 22.8% 31.7%
Jennifer Suter 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 2.9% 2.7% 5.0% 7.3% 9.9% 15.2% 19.1% 33.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.