Race 6B

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hugh MacGillivray 41.0% 27.5% 18.2% 7.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Oursler 8.7% 11.8% 15.1% 18.4% 15.7% 12.7% 9.0% 5.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
James Keegan 7.1% 6.4% 8.8% 13.6% 16.0% 14.1% 15.5% 10.0% 5.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.2%
Brad Seferian 22.1% 24.9% 20.7% 15.1% 9.0% 4.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 1.5% 2.5% 3.7% 5.0% 6.0% 10.4% 11.3% 13.9% 15.7% 14.6% 9.5% 5.9%
Tyler Paige 10.2% 13.7% 14.3% 17.5% 14.5% 14.4% 8.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Boland 2.2% 2.6% 4.0% 4.6% 7.4% 10.2% 10.8% 14.2% 15.1% 13.0% 10.3% 5.6%
Nicholas Manfredi 3.8% 5.9% 8.3% 9.7% 13.7% 13.5% 13.9% 15.2% 8.2% 4.7% 2.4% 0.7%
Erin Godfrey 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 4.4% 6.1% 10.1% 10.7% 14.3% 17.2% 17.6% 13.7%
Peter Sander 0.8% 1.9% 2.8% 3.5% 5.0% 5.5% 8.4% 13.7% 15.0% 15.9% 16.5% 11.0%
Catalina Feder 1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.7% 5.3% 5.8% 10.9% 14.5% 23.0% 30.6%
Jennifer Suter 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 4.0% 6.1% 10.8% 16.1% 20.3% 32.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.