Race 7B

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brad Seferian 22.0% 23.9% 20.9% 17.1% 8.5% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Paige 9.1% 12.5% 16.8% 16.1% 17.9% 12.2% 7.9% 5.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 1.8% 3.3% 3.7% 4.0% 7.1% 8.0% 12.2% 15.1% 15.1% 14.2% 10.9% 4.6%
Hugh MacGillivray 42.3% 28.5% 15.5% 8.1% 3.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Oursler 9.4% 12.0% 15.1% 17.3% 16.7% 11.8% 8.5% 5.7% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
James Keegan 5.6% 7.6% 9.4% 12.1% 14.5% 16.2% 14.7% 10.2% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Nicholas Manfredi 4.5% 5.5% 8.1% 9.5% 12.2% 15.5% 14.7% 12.5% 8.2% 5.9% 2.3% 1.1%
Dylan Boland 1.6% 2.4% 4.1% 5.5% 7.0% 9.5% 11.3% 13.9% 15.3% 13.6% 10.8% 5.0%
Peter Sander 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 3.1% 4.8% 7.3% 10.4% 11.5% 16.6% 16.5% 15.4% 9.9%
Erin Godfrey 0.8% 1.2% 2.4% 4.0% 3.4% 6.2% 8.1% 11.1% 13.4% 16.5% 18.5% 14.4%
Catalina Feder 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.9% 3.5% 5.5% 6.3% 10.8% 14.6% 21.2% 32.1%
Jennifer Suter 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.8% 3.2% 4.4% 7.3% 11.1% 14.2% 19.6% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.