Race 8B

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brad Seferian 21.7% 22.3% 22.5% 17.1% 8.6% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hugh MacGillivray 41.4% 29.2% 15.1% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Oursler 10.2% 11.1% 15.5% 17.0% 17.4% 12.7% 9.6% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Sander 0.5% 2.2% 2.1% 3.0% 3.7% 6.3% 10.8% 12.6% 14.8% 15.3% 16.6% 12.1%
Tyler Paige 10.1% 11.6% 16.9% 17.0% 16.1% 11.8% 8.6% 4.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
James Keegan 5.6% 8.5% 8.5% 12.0% 16.4% 15.9% 13.9% 9.3% 5.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Dylan Boland 1.9% 2.9% 4.3% 4.4% 6.6% 9.8% 11.7% 14.1% 14.8% 14.7% 8.8% 6.0%
Nicholas Manfredi 4.3% 6.5% 6.6% 10.0% 12.6% 15.0% 14.0% 14.0% 8.8% 4.7% 2.9% 0.6%
Erin Godfrey 1.5% 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 4.2% 6.3% 8.1% 13.0% 14.2% 15.6% 19.1% 13.1%
Brian Reilly 1.6% 2.6% 4.3% 4.5% 7.0% 9.3% 12.0% 14.2% 17.6% 12.8% 9.5% 4.6%
Jennifer Suter 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 3.5% 5.3% 6.6% 10.6% 15.5% 20.6% 31.5%
Catalina Feder 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 1.9% 4.2% 3.4% 6.7% 9.5% 16.7% 20.9% 32.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.