Race 9B

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Vidar Minkovsky 29.3% 25.4% 20.0% 13.4% 6.3% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Winter 4.7% 7.9% 8.9% 12.3% 13.6% 13.6% 14.3% 11.0% 6.5% 5.5% 1.7% 0.0%
Matthew Romanuski 8.9% 7.9% 12.0% 13.1% 16.8% 13.6% 12.6% 8.3% 4.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Brad Seferian 30.3% 27.5% 18.4% 10.9% 7.3% 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Phillip Rosenthall 3.7% 4.8% 7.0% 9.3% 10.8% 13.6% 12.5% 13.5% 10.6% 8.1% 4.4% 1.7%
Tyler Paige 13.9% 14.7% 17.8% 15.2% 15.2% 10.9% 6.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Sander 2.1% 2.4% 3.6% 3.7% 4.8% 8.3% 8.6% 11.9% 12.9% 16.1% 14.0% 11.6%
Erin Godfrey 1.3% 2.0% 2.8% 4.2% 4.7% 6.5% 8.4% 8.3% 12.8% 16.9% 19.0% 13.1%
Dylan Boland 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 5.2% 8.5% 11.0% 12.9% 13.9% 14.2% 11.7% 10.4% 4.1%
Catalina Feder 0.5% 1.1% 2.4% 3.1% 2.8% 3.9% 4.4% 7.2% 10.3% 13.4% 20.3% 30.6%
Brian Reilly 2.5% 2.3% 2.8% 6.4% 7.5% 8.9% 11.4% 13.7% 15.0% 13.6% 8.8% 7.1%
Jennifer Suter 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 3.2% 1.7% 3.5% 4.7% 7.5% 11.3% 12.9% 20.4% 31.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.