Race 10B

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Vidar Minkovsky 28.7% 24.9% 21.3% 12.9% 6.5% 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Brad Seferian 29.0% 28.0% 18.7% 11.7% 7.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Paige 15.0% 12.8% 18.2% 16.8% 14.7% 11.4% 5.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Winter 4.7% 7.2% 9.5% 14.4% 12.1% 13.0% 14.4% 12.0% 7.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5%
Peter Sander 1.0% 2.1% 3.5% 3.8% 5.6% 6.8% 9.9% 10.6% 12.5% 16.0% 16.1% 12.1%
Matthew Romanuski 8.3% 9.6% 10.3% 13.2% 16.3% 13.9% 11.8% 8.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Dylan Boland 2.8% 3.9% 3.3% 6.1% 6.9% 11.1% 10.9% 13.6% 14.9% 12.0% 9.0% 5.5%
Erin Godfrey 1.4% 1.6% 3.3% 4.0% 5.2% 6.4% 7.1% 10.3% 11.6% 17.3% 18.4% 13.4%
Brian Reilly 2.4% 3.0% 3.2% 5.3% 8.8% 10.9% 12.7% 13.8% 14.7% 12.2% 8.2% 4.8%
Phillip Rosenthall 4.5% 5.0% 6.0% 8.7% 11.1% 13.3% 13.3% 13.7% 12.4% 6.8% 3.2% 2.0%
Jennifer Suter 1.4% 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 1.9% 3.5% 6.8% 6.0% 9.7% 14.1% 23.4% 29.3%
Catalina Feder 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 6.8% 9.9% 15.5% 19.7% 32.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.