Race 11B

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Vidar Minkovsky 28.4% 24.9% 20.4% 14.2% 6.3% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Winter 5.2% 7.6% 9.7% 10.8% 14.2% 15.6% 12.3% 10.5% 7.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.7%
Matthew Romanuski 8.6% 9.1% 11.9% 14.0% 14.5% 14.6% 11.8% 8.6% 4.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.2%
Dylan Boland 1.7% 2.7% 4.3% 5.5% 8.2% 8.7% 11.8% 14.6% 12.7% 13.4% 10.2% 6.2%
Peter Sander 1.3% 1.6% 3.6% 3.7% 5.7% 8.2% 9.6% 9.3% 13.9% 15.1% 15.4% 12.6%
Brad Seferian 30.2% 25.7% 17.8% 13.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Paige 14.6% 15.6% 17.2% 15.7% 14.3% 9.2% 7.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Brian Reilly 2.2% 3.3% 4.6% 6.6% 7.4% 9.9% 11.9% 12.8% 14.1% 11.8% 10.9% 4.5%
Erin Godfrey 1.6% 1.4% 1.9% 3.0% 4.6% 6.4% 9.1% 11.6% 14.8% 15.5% 16.8% 13.3%
Phillip Rosenthall 4.2% 5.4% 6.2% 9.5% 11.9% 14.0% 12.7% 13.0% 12.4% 6.0% 3.0% 1.7%
Catalina Feder 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 4.2% 5.1% 6.8% 9.6% 15.7% 21.4% 29.8%
Jennifer Suter 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 5.5% 7.8% 9.1% 15.9% 19.8% 30.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.