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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.79+2.94vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+3.70vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.42vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.91+5.79vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.60-2.43vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+2.49vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.26-2.05vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.43+0.70vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.10-1.48vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.12-2.54vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.63-4.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-0.89-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.1%1st Place
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2.58SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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9.79Columbia University-0.910.0%1st Place
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2.57Fordham University2.600.3%1st Place
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8.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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4.95SUNY Maritime College1.260.1%1st Place
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8.7Fairfield University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.52Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
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7.46Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.55Connecticut College0.630.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Paige | 12.8% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Winter | 5.3% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 30.1% | 27.0% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catalina Feder | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 31.7% |
| Brad Seferian | 29.8% | 27.8% | 18.2% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 10.8% |
| Matthew Romanuski | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Erin Godfrey | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 14.9% |
| Dylan Boland | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Brian Reilly | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Phillip Rosenthall | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 21.0% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.