Race 1A

maisa-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Bailey Carter 11.8% 13.5% 12.5% 12.7% 10.6% 9.9% 8.1% 6.8% 6.0% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Smith 19.7% 17.0% 13.9% 12.9% 10.9% 7.8% 7.6% 4.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 12.4% 9.7% 12.4% 11.6% 10.7% 10.6% 10.7% 8.0% 6.3% 3.6% 2.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 12.8% 12.7% 12.5% 13.2% 11.1% 9.9% 9.3% 6.3% 7.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Hughes 8.7% 9.7% 10.0% 10.1% 9.4% 10.1% 9.7% 10.3% 8.8% 6.4% 3.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 0.7% 1.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 3.7% 3.5% 6.3% 9.3% 13.7% 19.4% 16.6% 12.6% 5.1%
Adelaide Ferguson 12.2% 11.4% 10.7% 11.5% 10.6% 11.3% 9.5% 8.3% 5.6% 5.7% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Garth 4.0% 3.6% 5.8% 4.5% 6.4% 8.0% 8.0% 9.3% 9.0% 11.9% 13.1% 8.8% 5.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Grace Mason 4.7% 6.0% 7.1% 5.4% 8.7% 7.9% 10.4% 9.9% 10.4% 10.5% 8.1% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 5.1% 5.2% 4.5% 6.5% 6.3% 7.4% 8.6% 11.6% 12.4% 10.6% 10.1% 6.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.2%
Julia Gowell 4.0% 3.6% 3.7% 5.7% 5.3% 5.3% 4.9% 8.0% 10.2% 12.2% 12.8% 12.5% 7.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Claire Riedman 2.5% 3.2% 3.3% 2.7% 5.0% 5.4% 6.5% 6.4% 8.3% 10.5% 14.3% 13.6% 10.4% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Christina Black 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 5.4% 6.7% 10.3% 15.1% 16.3% 17.9% 10.7% 3.7%
Jessica Kurlander 0.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 3.8% 5.9% 12.2% 18.4% 25.0% 26.1%
Emily Hann 0.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 0.5% 2.8% 4.1% 6.8% 14.4% 22.6% 43.7%
Amanda Nuse 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 3.8% 3.6% 7.2% 12.8% 19.2% 25.6% 20.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.