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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.67vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.58+3.07vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+2.03vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.08vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.00vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.71+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.31+1.71vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74-3.36vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.49-0.88vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.78-2.60vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.09-1.73vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.17-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo-1.24+1.38vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.11-2.25vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.72-1.40vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.07George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.03Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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7.68Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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4.64Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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7.4Old Dominion University1.780.1%1st Place
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9.27Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
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11.64Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Buffalo-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.75Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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13.6Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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13.96SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hughes | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 13.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 18.1% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julia Gowell | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Grace Mason | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Claire Riedman | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Christina Black | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
| Emily Hann | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 42.4% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 4.4% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 27.1% | 20.3% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 18.7% | 25.6% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.