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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+4.33vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+2.17vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.03+1.24vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.19vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.41-1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+0.69vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.66-0.85vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.36+1.89vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-1.12vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.70-4.31vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-0.78-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Salve Regina University0.9710.8%1st Place
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4.07Fairfield University0.4217.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0210.7%1st Place
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5.24Middlebury College0.0310.9%1st Place
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4.81Olin College of Engineering0.2211.8%1st Place
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4.59McGill University0.4115.4%1st Place
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7.69University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.974.1%1st Place
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7.15Brandeis University-0.664.8%1st Place
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10.89Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.360.7%1st Place
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8.88Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.6%1st Place
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6.69Bates College-0.706.2%1st Place
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7.48Bentley University-0.785.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 17.0% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Delong | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| James Jagielski | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Genevieve Lau | 15.4% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 6.4% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 3.8% |
| Owen Peterson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 64.9% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 25.6% | 15.0% |
| Colby Green | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Blagden | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.