Race 4A

maisa-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Bailey Carter 12.2% 12.4% 12.6% 11.9% 12.0% 8.8% 8.0% 6.5% 8.9% 3.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Hughes 9.7% 9.9% 10.0% 8.9% 11.6% 8.4% 9.6% 9.5% 8.4% 6.8% 4.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 12.4% 9.6% 11.7% 11.5% 11.6% 9.7% 10.7% 8.5% 6.6% 3.8% 2.0% 1.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Smith 17.9% 17.0% 14.4% 12.1% 12.1% 9.4% 6.1% 6.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 11.2% 11.5% 12.2% 12.5% 10.7% 10.8% 9.2% 7.7% 5.9% 4.5% 1.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 12.2% 13.3% 12.2% 13.4% 10.8% 10.5% 8.6% 7.2% 5.0% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Garth 4.6% 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 4.6% 6.6% 8.0% 8.7% 9.7% 12.0% 11.9% 10.2% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 4.6% 5.9% 6.1% 6.5% 6.0% 9.9% 8.9% 8.9% 11.4% 10.4% 9.8% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Julia Gowell 3.3% 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 4.3% 6.8% 6.6% 10.7% 9.0% 11.4% 13.7% 12.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Elizabeth Siegal 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 1.8% 2.4% 2.3% 3.3% 5.4% 9.4% 14.3% 19.9% 17.9% 12.2% 3.8%
Grace Mason 6.6% 6.3% 4.9% 7.0% 5.9% 7.9% 8.9% 10.8% 10.3% 12.3% 8.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Claire Riedman 2.7% 3.0% 3.5% 2.7% 4.0% 4.9% 8.1% 6.2% 9.3% 11.3% 12.6% 13.6% 11.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4%
Christina Black 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 4.8% 4.2% 6.7% 10.2% 13.8% 18.6% 16.3% 11.2% 3.7%
Jessica Kurlander 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.6% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 2.0% 2.3% 3.4% 5.9% 11.7% 18.4% 25.1% 26.4%
Emily Hann 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 1.1% 1.0% 2.8% 3.4% 7.5% 13.1% 23.3% 44.0%
Amanda Nuse 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 3.5% 4.1% 6.9% 11.4% 21.1% 24.3% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.