Race 10A

maisa-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Mary Kate Mezzetti 13.5% 15.6% 12.7% 11.3% 11.8% 9.8% 8.1% 6.7% 5.3% 2.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Carolyn Smith 19.7% 16.1% 14.4% 11.8% 12.2% 8.7% 6.3% 5.2% 3.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Mason 5.2% 5.2% 6.0% 6.7% 8.2% 7.1% 9.1% 10.2% 12.4% 11.8% 7.8% 4.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 10.2% 13.0% 10.4% 10.6% 11.5% 11.2% 9.7% 8.3% 6.9% 5.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 11.8% 11.2% 13.2% 11.3% 10.6% 10.1% 11.0% 7.0% 6.9% 3.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christina Black 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 2.5% 2.2% 3.6% 4.6% 8.1% 10.3% 13.2% 17.2% 16.7% 11.2% 4.8%
Amanda Attardi 5.3% 5.1% 5.9% 6.0% 7.2% 6.4% 8.3% 10.0% 12.0% 10.2% 9.9% 7.7% 4.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Caroline Garth 3.7% 4.9% 4.4% 6.5% 5.9% 6.5% 8.2% 10.0% 8.8% 11.7% 13.4% 9.2% 4.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Bailey Carter 12.2% 12.4% 11.6% 12.6% 10.3% 11.6% 9.3% 7.0% 4.6% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Nuse 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.1% 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 4.2% 6.4% 11.1% 21.3% 26.7% 19.4%
Elizabeth Siegal 1.7% 1.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 2.3% 2.4% 3.5% 3.5% 6.6% 7.1% 14.3% 19.0% 18.0% 11.4% 4.8%
Hannah Hughes 9.5% 7.9% 11.1% 12.0% 8.5% 9.9% 10.0% 8.4% 7.7% 5.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jessica Kurlander 0.5% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 4.9% 7.3% 9.4% 17.1% 24.4% 28.4%
Emily Hann 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 4.1% 9.3% 13.0% 22.4% 42.2%
Claire Riedman 2.9% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 4.1% 6.1% 5.8% 7.4% 8.9% 10.5% 13.4% 15.2% 10.4% 5.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Julia Gowell 2.6% 3.2% 3.7% 4.6% 4.9% 5.2% 7.3% 9.1% 9.3% 12.7% 12.8% 11.2% 9.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.