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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+2.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.87+4.07vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67+1.03vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.06vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+1.66vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.27+2.00vs Predicted
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7Cornell University0.64+2.75vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.36-0.29vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.14-3.56vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania0.86-0.77vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.39-0.56vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-7.27vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo-0.79+0.16vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-1.60vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.51-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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4.03George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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6.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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6.66Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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9.75Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.71Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.44Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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10.44Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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4.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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13.16University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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12.4Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.46Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 19.6% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.8% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kimberly Wong | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 2.6% |
| Samara Leith | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 5.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 22.6% | 39.4% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 24.8% | 22.6% |
| Haley Collins | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 16.8% | 21.2% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.