Race 11A

neisa-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Olivia Lowthian 10.3% 10.3% 10.3% 10.8% 11.9% 10.4% 9.5% 9.2% 7.8% 5.9% 2.5% 0.9%
Genevieve Lau 16.0% 13.1% 13.2% 11.3% 10.8% 11.0% 9.0% 6.8% 4.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.1%
James Jagielski 14.6% 13.2% 12.2% 12.7% 10.3% 8.8% 9.6% 7.8% 6.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Walter Chiles 9.2% 11.6% 11.6% 10.8% 11.1% 11.3% 9.9% 9.3% 7.2% 5.1% 2.2% 0.5%
William Delong 11.3% 10.2% 10.4% 10.5% 11.1% 10.4% 10.8% 9.0% 7.2% 5.3% 3.2% 0.4%
Colby Green 5.5% 6.5% 7.1% 7.5% 8.3% 10.2% 11.2% 10.2% 11.5% 11.0% 8.2% 2.6%
Jackson Harney 2.6% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 4.5% 5.3% 5.8% 7.4% 10.1% 15.1% 23.9% 16.5%
Andrew Blagden 4.7% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.2% 7.0% 7.0% 9.8% 12.8% 14.4% 14.6% 7.2%
Nolan Cooper 15.7% 16.2% 14.4% 12.3% 11.0% 9.3% 8.0% 6.4% 4.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Owen Peterson 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 3.1% 3.9% 8.2% 14.8% 59.7%
Myles Hazen 5.2% 5.8% 5.9% 7.4% 8.1% 7.8% 8.7% 11.2% 12.2% 12.1% 11.1% 4.3%
Ian McCaffrey 4.0% 4.9% 5.2% 5.7% 5.3% 6.5% 7.9% 9.6% 12.8% 14.4% 16.4% 7.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.