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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+2.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.87+4.09vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania0.86+6.03vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+0.10vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+1.62vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+0.13vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14-1.56vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.27-0.03vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-4.57vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.39+0.53vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.36-3.22vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.64-1.99vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo-0.79+0.12vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-1.60vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.51-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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4.1George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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6.62Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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5.44Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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4.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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10.53Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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7.78Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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10.01Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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12.4Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.46Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 18.9% | 18.5% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.8% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 13.3% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 5.1% |
| Samara Leith | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Kimberly Wong | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 22.1% | 39.4% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 23.7% |
| Haley Collins | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 22.7% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.