← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.67+3.07vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.76+1.77vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+3.03vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University0.64+5.79vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.38vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.74+0.63vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.14-1.54vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.82vs Predicted
-
9University of Virginia1.27-1.09vs Predicted
-
10Queen's University0.39+0.52vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania0.86-1.85vs Predicted
-
12University of Buffalo-0.79+1.15vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University-0.51-0.37vs Predicted
-
14Monmouth University-0.46-1.56vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University1.36-7.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.07George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
-
3.77Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
-
6.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
-
9.79Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
-
4.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
6.63Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
-
5.46Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.18U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
-
7.91University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
-
10.52Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
-
9.15University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
-
13.15University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
-
12.63Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
12.44Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
7.66Christopher Newport University1.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 18.6% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 20.7% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Wong | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 13.6% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 4.9% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 15.6% | 22.3% | 38.3% |
| Haley Collins | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 15.5% | 25.4% | 27.3% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 24.3% |
| Samara Leith | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.