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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.51vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.67+1.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.87+3.12vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia1.27+3.00vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76-2.13vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.74-0.45vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.36-0.22vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.64+0.71vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-4.39vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.51+1.50vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.69vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.39-2.42vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-0.79-0.96vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.46-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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3.98George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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6.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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3.87Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.55Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.78Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.71Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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5.61Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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12.5Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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10.58Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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12.39Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 14.1% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.3% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 18.0% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Samara Leith | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kimberly Wong | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Haley Collins | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 28.3% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 6.3% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 24.0% | 36.2% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 22.8% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.