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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+3.03vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.41vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.64+6.65vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.36+3.68vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76-1.03vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.87+0.25vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.51+5.43vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14-2.55vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.39+1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.27-1.92vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.74-4.38vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-5.74vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania0.86-3.66vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-0.79-0.98vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.46-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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4.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
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9.65Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.68Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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3.97Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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12.43Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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5.45Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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10.44Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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6.62Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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12.36Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 18.8% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 15.1% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Wong | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| Samara Leith | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 19.5% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 24.4% | 26.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 4.9% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 21.8% | 38.4% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 23.8% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.