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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.48vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.67+1.98vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+0.86vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.02vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+1.69vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-0.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.87-0.80vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.39+2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.27-1.08vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.36-2.23vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.51+1.53vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.69vs Predicted
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13Cornell University0.64-3.06vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-0.79-0.97vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.46-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
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3.98George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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3.86Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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6.69Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.48Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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10.4Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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7.77Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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12.53Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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9.94Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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12.39Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 15.6% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.5% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 19.3% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 4.6% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Samara Leith | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Haley Collins | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 22.3% | 28.5% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Kimberly Wong | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 22.9% | 36.4% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 23.0% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.