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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.87+5.13vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+3.97vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+0.83vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.49vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.67-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.27+2.00vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.36+0.69vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14-2.52vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.39+1.44vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.74-3.33vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania0.86-1.88vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.64-1.98vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.51-0.38vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-1.56vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo-0.79-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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5.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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3.83Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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4.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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4.14George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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8.0University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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7.69Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.48Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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10.44Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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6.67Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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10.02Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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12.62Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.44Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.97University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Robertson | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 18.8% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.2% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Samara Leith | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 3.7% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Kimberly Wong | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 23.0% | 28.3% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 24.4% | 23.6% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 21.4% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.