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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+3.07vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+3.39vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+3.00vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.54vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+1.59vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76-2.16vs Predicted
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7Cornell University0.64+2.68vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.78vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.39+1.45vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.36-2.24vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.27-2.92vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.46+0.61vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania0.86-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-0.79-0.98vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.51-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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5.39Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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4.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.2%1st Place
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6.59Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.84Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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9.68Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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10.45Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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7.76Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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12.61Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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12.43Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 17.3% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 15.4% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 17.5% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Wong | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Mary Robertson | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 4.9% |
| Samara Leith | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 25.0% | 24.8% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 22.2% | 37.4% |
| Haley Collins | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 22.7% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.