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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+3.04vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.43vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.99vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.36+3.69vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76-0.99vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.51+6.53vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14-1.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.80vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74-2.46vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.27-1.96vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo-0.79+2.02vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania0.86-2.62vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.39-2.43vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-1.63vs Predicted
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15Cornell University0.64-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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4.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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7.69Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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12.53Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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5.44Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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6.54Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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10.57Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.37Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.75Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 19.2% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 17.5% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 25.4% | 27.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 20.3% | 39.4% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 5.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 22.5% | 23.2% |
| Kimberly Wong | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.