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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+2.82vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.39+8.27vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.37vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+0.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.87+1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania0.86+3.14vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.74-0.42vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.36-0.25vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.51+3.49vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-4.43vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.27-2.97vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.64-2.00vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.46-0.46vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-0.79-0.92vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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10.27Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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4.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.2%1st Place
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4.08George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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6.58Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.75Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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12.49Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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5.57Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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10.0Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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12.54Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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6.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 18.7% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 16.2% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.6% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Amanda Stapp | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Haley Collins | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 25.8% | 22.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Kimberly Wong | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 23.2% | 26.5% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 20.9% | 39.6% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.