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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.52vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74+4.45vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67+1.00vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76-0.08vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.27+2.01vs Predicted
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7Cornell University0.64+2.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.79vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.14-3.61vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.39+0.50vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania0.86-1.81vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.51+0.70vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.36-5.09vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-0.79-0.97vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.46-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.45Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.0George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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3.92Georgetown University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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9.72Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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5.39Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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10.5Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Pennsylvania0.860.0%1st Place
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12.7Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.91Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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12.33Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 14.3% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 17.5% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 18.9% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kimberly Wong | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Mary Robertson | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Raemie Ladner | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Haley Collins | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 24.5% | 27.6% |
| Samara Leith | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 22.2% | 37.1% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 24.2% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.