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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.73+4.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.38+4.43vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+3.98vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+2.48vs Predicted
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5University of Florida2.50+4.48vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.85+2.60vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.15+0.35vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.89+0.07vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-3.19vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.16+0.65vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.65-1.83vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.54+2.64vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.03-5.14vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.99-2.67vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-1.51+1.65vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.10-2.46vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University4.01-12.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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6.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Florida2.500.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Wisconsin2.850.1%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.07Cornell University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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10.65Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.17SUNY Maritime College2.650.0%1st Place
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14.64McGill University0.540.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.33Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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16.65University of Connecticut-1.510.0%1st Place
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13.54Princeton University1.100.0%1st Place
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4.68Old Dominion University4.010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Davis | 14.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gary Herring | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Wright | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Fox | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryann Hall | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 0.2% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fohl | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 48.4% | 9.9% |
| Ian Towill | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| Doug Harrison | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 7.6% | 86.2% |
| Gavin Schlissel | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 28.4% | 24.4% | 3.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.