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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+3.21vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.67vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University-0.66+4.16vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+1.13vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97+0.39vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.41-1.43vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.03-1.70vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.78-0.49vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.36+1.71vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.70-3.29vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-2.15vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Fairfield University0.4217.2%1st Place
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4.67Olin College of Engineering0.2212.9%1st Place
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7.16Brandeis University-0.665.2%1st Place
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5.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.9%1st Place
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5.39Salve Regina University0.9710.3%1st Place
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4.57McGill University0.4113.9%1st Place
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5.3Middlebury College0.0310.5%1st Place
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7.51Bentley University-0.784.7%1st Place
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10.71Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.360.9%1st Place
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6.71Bates College-0.705.9%1st Place
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8.85Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.4%1st Place
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7.78University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.974.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 17.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 12.9% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 4.5% |
| William Delong | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Genevieve Lau | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 6.6% |
| Owen Peterson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 60.5% |
| Colby Green | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 23.6% | 16.9% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.