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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+1.36vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04-0.40vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.48+2.62vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.59+0.28vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.00-1.26vs Predicted
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7Denison University-0.21-1.69vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.09-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36University of Minnesota2.130.3%1st Place
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1.6University of Wisconsin3.040.6%1st Place
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5.62Ohio State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.28Michigan State University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.74Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.31Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 26.1% | 34.3% | 23.2% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 56.9% | 29.9% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Disbrow | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 23.8% | 39.5% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 3.9% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 24.1% | 22.4% | 16.4% | 6.9% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 6.5% | 12.2% | 27.6% | 23.6% | 17.7% | 9.7% | 2.7% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 1.9% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 25.6% | 27.6% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 2.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 21.1% | 23.6% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.