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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+1.39vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04-0.41vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.48+2.61vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.00-0.27vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.59-1.73vs Predicted
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7Denison University-0.21-1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.09-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39University of Minnesota2.130.3%1st Place
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1.59University of Wisconsin3.040.6%1st Place
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5.61Ohio State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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3.73Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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4.27Michigan State University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.34Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 25.5% | 33.4% | 24.2% | 12.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 56.7% | 31.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Disbrow | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 24.0% | 39.3% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 6.4% | 14.2% | 24.7% | 23.6% | 19.2% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 4.7% | 8.0% | 17.9% | 25.5% | 21.0% | 14.7% | 8.2% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 1.9% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 19.5% | 26.5% | 27.6% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 2.7% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 22.2% | 24.2% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.