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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+0.59vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.00+1.68vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.13-1.64vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.09+0.23vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.21-0.68vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.59-2.73vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.48-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59University of Wisconsin3.040.6%1st Place
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3.68Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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2.36University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.23University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.32Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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4.27Michigan State University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.55Ohio State University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 58.9% | 27.9% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 7.5% | 13.6% | 24.6% | 26.4% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Alison Kent | 22.9% | 39.5% | 22.4% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 1.3% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 20.9% | 25.3% | 24.2% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 2.4% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 21.9% | 24.1% | 27.9% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 4.7% | 8.1% | 19.0% | 23.7% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 7.4% |
| Molly Disbrow | 2.3% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 24.1% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.