← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.00+2.69vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University0.59+2.23vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin3.04-1.42vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota2.13-2.59vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University-0.48-0.30vs Predicted
-
7University of Notre Dame-0.09-1.83vs Predicted
-
8Denison University-0.21-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.69Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
-
4.23Michigan State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
1.58University of Wisconsin3.040.6%1st Place
-
2.41University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
-
5.7Ohio State University-0.480.0%1st Place
-
5.17University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
-
5.22Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine O'Donnell | 7.3% | 15.9% | 23.3% | 23.8% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 4.7% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 25.6% | 22.6% | 15.1% | 6.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 58.3% | 28.9% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 23.0% | 34.7% | 25.5% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Molly Disbrow | 1.2% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 24.6% | 40.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 2.3% | 4.0% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 22.5% | 23.4% | 24.1% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 18.8% | 26.8% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.