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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04-0.40vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.09+2.17vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.59+0.26vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.00-2.25vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.48-1.35vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.21-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35University of Minnesota2.130.3%1st Place
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1.6University of Wisconsin3.040.6%1st Place
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5.17University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.26Michigan State University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.75Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.65Ohio State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.22Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 25.9% | 35.1% | 23.2% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 57.1% | 29.6% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 21.2% | 24.8% | 24.2% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 3.8% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 25.6% | 21.0% | 15.4% | 7.5% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 6.4% | 12.3% | 27.5% | 23.4% | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.1% |
| Molly Disbrow | 1.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 24.7% | 39.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 1.9% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 20.9% | 24.6% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.