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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+0.56vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13+0.36vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.09+0.23vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.00-2.25vs Predicted
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7Denison University-0.21-1.68vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.48-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56University of Wisconsin3.040.6%1st Place
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2.36University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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4.25Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.75Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.32Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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5.54Ohio State University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 60.1% | 27.7% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 23.0% | 39.3% | 22.5% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 5.2% | 8.0% | 17.7% | 24.5% | 22.2% | 14.9% | 7.5% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 1.1% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 27.7% | 23.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 6.6% | 13.1% | 27.1% | 22.0% | 18.2% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 2.1% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 15.1% | 19.6% | 24.2% | 28.2% |
| Molly Disbrow | 1.9% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 22.2% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.