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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+0.57vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13+0.35vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.00+0.71vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.59+0.32vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.21+0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.09-0.86vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.48-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57University of Wisconsin3.040.6%1st Place
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2.35University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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3.71Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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4.32Michigan State University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.32Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.58Ohio State University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 59.6% | 27.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 23.6% | 38.2% | 23.5% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 6.9% | 13.2% | 25.7% | 25.8% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 3.3% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 23.1% | 17.0% | 7.3% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 2.2% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 25.3% | 28.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 2.4% | 3.9% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 22.7% | 23.0% | 23.3% |
| Molly Disbrow | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 23.8% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.