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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+0.54vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.09+3.17vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59+1.26vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.48+1.73vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.00-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.13-4.61vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.21-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54University of Wisconsin3.040.6%1st Place
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5.17University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.26Michigan State University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.73Ohio State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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3.72Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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2.39University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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5.19Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 61.9% | 26.1% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 2.0% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 21.6% | 25.3% | 22.8% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 4.6% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 24.3% | 20.7% | 16.5% | 7.3% |
| Molly Disbrow | 0.7% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 22.7% | 41.5% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 6.4% | 14.1% | 25.5% | 24.4% | 17.5% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Alison Kent | 21.8% | 39.1% | 22.8% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 2.6% | 4.1% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 26.2% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.