← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota2.13+1.37vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin3.04-0.41vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame-0.09+2.17vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University1.00-0.28vs Predicted
-
5Michigan State University0.59-0.74vs Predicted
-
6Denison University-0.21-0.68vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University-0.48-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.37University of Minnesota2.130.3%1st Place
-
1.59University of Wisconsin3.040.6%1st Place
-
5.17University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
-
3.72Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
-
4.26Michigan State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
5.32Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
-
5.58Ohio State University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 25.2% | 34.5% | 24.3% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 56.8% | 30.8% | 9.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 21.7% | 24.8% | 23.9% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 6.4% | 14.8% | 24.2% | 24.1% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 4.7% | 8.1% | 18.4% | 24.9% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 7.6% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 1.9% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 19.8% | 26.4% | 27.1% |
| Molly Disbrow | 1.6% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 22.9% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.