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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+0.59vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13+0.36vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59+1.26vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.00-0.30vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.48+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.09-0.85vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.21-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59University of Wisconsin3.040.6%1st Place
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2.36University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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4.26Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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3.7Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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5.69Ohio State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.24Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 58.7% | 27.7% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 23.4% | 38.2% | 23.6% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 5.6% | 7.8% | 17.4% | 24.1% | 22.1% | 15.2% | 7.8% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 6.5% | 14.3% | 25.5% | 23.4% | 19.6% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Molly Disbrow | 1.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 23.1% | 40.9% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 2.4% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 21.3% | 24.5% | 23.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 2.3% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 27.4% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.