Race 13A

neisa-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nolan Cooper 17.4% 17.8% 13.2% 12.2% 10.0% 9.8% 8.6% 4.5% 3.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Genevieve Lau 16.7% 13.0% 12.8% 11.7% 11.6% 9.8% 8.0% 7.3% 4.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.1%
William Delong 8.8% 11.1% 11.0% 12.2% 10.9% 11.2% 9.7% 9.6% 7.8% 4.8% 2.5% 0.4%
James Jagielski 14.1% 13.2% 13.2% 11.2% 10.9% 10.7% 9.1% 7.0% 5.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Olivia Lowthian 10.5% 10.7% 9.8% 11.6% 11.2% 10.9% 10.5% 9.2% 6.8% 5.5% 2.3% 1.0%
Walter Chiles 9.8% 10.9% 12.0% 11.1% 11.9% 9.8% 9.6% 9.0% 7.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6%
Myles Hazen 5.1% 5.5% 5.8% 6.7% 7.0% 8.0% 9.4% 11.0% 13.2% 13.4% 10.2% 4.9%
Ian McCaffrey 5.1% 4.2% 5.3% 5.7% 5.9% 6.6% 8.1% 11.7% 12.2% 14.0% 14.2% 7.0%
Jackson Harney 2.1% 2.8% 3.9% 3.1% 4.3% 5.5% 6.8% 7.6% 11.3% 15.4% 23.2% 14.1%
Wilfred Hynes 2.6% 2.7% 4.3% 5.1% 5.3% 6.0% 7.4% 8.8% 11.7% 16.1% 19.6% 10.2%
Owen Peterson 0.7% 1.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 3.1% 4.3% 7.4% 14.9% 59.2%
Colby Green 7.0% 6.8% 7.6% 8.0% 9.1% 9.3% 10.4% 11.3% 11.9% 9.6% 6.8% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.