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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Minnesota1.18+0.52vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32-1.46vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.13-0.17vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.23-1.26vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.81-0.91vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.58-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.38-2.09vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.63-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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1.54Tufts University2.320.6%1st Place
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3.83Michigan State University0.130.1%1st Place
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3.74Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.09Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.14Denison University-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 20.0% | 36.0% | 24.5% | 13.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 60.2% | 27.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Zimmerman | 7.4% | 11.5% | 23.7% | 23.9% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Susan Riley | 6.7% | 14.4% | 23.1% | 25.5% | 18.9% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 23.8% | 25.0% | 14.8% | 4.2% |
| Hanora Lucey | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 14.5% | 21.8% | 30.5% | 19.1% |
| Molly LaFave | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 25.4% | 26.8% | 15.1% |
| Margaret Hill | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 21.0% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.