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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.18+0.57vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.13-0.19vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.23-1.27vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.81-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.38-1.14vs Predicted
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8Denison University-1.58-1.83vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.63-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Tufts University2.320.6%1st Place
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2.57University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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3.81Michigan State University0.130.1%1st Place
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3.73Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.11Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.17Denison University-1.580.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Klement | 61.7% | 25.5% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 18.1% | 35.7% | 25.8% | 13.8% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Zimmerman | 7.1% | 13.7% | 21.8% | 24.5% | 19.1% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Susan Riley | 6.9% | 14.3% | 23.9% | 24.5% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 2.7% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 16.4% | 22.9% | 26.2% | 15.1% | 4.0% |
| Molly LaFave | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 23.4% | 27.1% | 13.9% |
| Hanora Lucey | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 22.6% | 29.4% | 21.1% |
| Margaret Hill | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 8.8% | 21.6% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.