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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+0.54vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.23+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.18-1.46vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.13-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.38-0.12vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.58-0.88vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.81-2.85vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.63-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Tufts University2.320.6%1st Place
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3.71Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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3.85Michigan State University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.12Denison University-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.15Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Klement | 61.1% | 27.1% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 7.4% | 13.3% | 24.9% | 24.6% | 18.2% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 19.7% | 34.2% | 26.2% | 14.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Zimmerman | 6.6% | 13.4% | 20.0% | 26.0% | 20.6% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Molly LaFave | 1.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 25.4% | 28.3% | 13.2% |
| Hanora Lucey | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 15.3% | 22.2% | 29.8% | 18.8% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 2.7% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 22.3% | 24.0% | 16.7% | 5.4% |
| Margaret Hill | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.