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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+0.54vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.81+2.17vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.13-0.21vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.23-1.30vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.18-3.42vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.38-1.14vs Predicted
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8Denison University-1.58-1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.63-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Tufts University2.320.6%1st Place
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5.17Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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3.79Michigan State University0.130.1%1st Place
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3.7Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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2.58University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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5.86University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.16Denison University-1.580.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Klement | 61.2% | 26.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 25.6% | 24.4% | 15.4% | 5.6% |
| Alexandria Zimmerman | 6.9% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 24.9% | 19.2% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Susan Riley | 7.3% | 13.8% | 24.1% | 25.3% | 18.7% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 18.8% | 33.8% | 26.9% | 13.8% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly LaFave | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 25.7% | 27.3% | 13.2% |
| Hanora Lucey | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 23.3% | 30.0% | 20.3% |
| Margaret Hill | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 21.7% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.